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Aug 28
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The black swan (Nassim Taleb) p 56

NEGATIVE EMPIRICISM “…a series of corroborative facts is not necessarily evidence…I know what statement is wrong, but not necessarily what statement is correct” “…the finding of a single malignant tumor proves that you have cancer, but the absence of such a finding cannot allow you to say with certainty that you are cancer-free” “We can get closer to the truth by negative instances, not by verification! It is misleading to build a general rule from observed facts. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our body of knowledge does not increase from a series of confirmatory observations”
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